RAND s portfolio analysis tool PAT

By Davis Paul K.

This report is a reference manual and user's guide for RAND's Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT), a spreadsheet-based software application for facilitating decisions dealing with uncertainty and differe...

Planning for long-term security in Central Europe

By Davis Paul K.

Aggregation, disaggregation, and the 3:1 rule in ground combat

By Davis Paul K.

The Rand Strategy Assessment Center

By Davis Paul K.

Looming discontinuities in U.S. military strategy and defense planning

By Davis Paul K.

The authors argue that the United States is entering a period of discontinuity in its defense planning, something that future historians may see as a planning crisis. The causes are technology diff...

Concepts and models of escalation

By Davis Paul K.

Analysis to inform defense planning despite austerity

By Davis Paul K.

Defense analysis can do a better job supporting policymakers dealing with multiple objectives and deep uncertainties. This will involve seeing through the fog with simple analysis and undergirding...

A new methodology for modeling national command level decisionmaking in war games and simulations

By Davis Paul K.

Experiments in multiresolution modeling (MRM)

By Davis Paul K.

Defense planning for the post-Cold War era

By Davis Paul K.